Quote mallcmjlm100="mallcmjlm100":10vqhzfeplease read cos i thought it was 1 up 1 down.'"
:10vqhzfe
Then you just haven't been paying attention. 1 license will be announced in an hour and a half or so for the guaranteed spot for a championship club. Today's unsuccessful clubs will then have their bids assessed alongside the 14 bids from current SL clubs for the 13 remaining spots: 15 clubs bidding for 13 places. The result come July could be anything between one new club in and one out to three new clubs in and three out.
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And if we're going to rehash the 'who's going down' arguments then yes, we are at risk. Along with every other Grade C club. However, those iwth the biggest obvious holes in the bids are clubs warned over ground plans (Wakey and Salford, though Salford seem to have stolen a march and moved out of the danger zone if their current build is likely to be completed by the start of next season), the club that was warned over attendance (Quins) and the two clubs that have gone into administration (Wakey and Crusaders).
All those clubs have serious weaknesses in their bids. The question is whether they'll be fatal weaknesses. Looking from outside with no particular knowledge, I'm quietly confident that the rest of our bid should be enough to see us granted a licence this year. But there's certainly no guarantee. The only clubs that can be sure of getting a licence are those awarded A or B licenses last time.
Quote mallcmjlm100="cas all the way":10vqhzfehe only reason administration has been dropped is because Crusaders went in to it. They don't wanna lose them as they really think it will kick off in farm country. Just like it has in London as we can see from attendances.'"
. And that was before Crusaders. We'll probably never get the clubs to tell us why they voted* for it but I suspect that a) the financial crash of 2008 and subsequent recession and b) the potential looming problems of HMRC's image rights calims would have been more of a consideration than Crusaders' woes.
* or indeed how they voted, either on the administration rule or the decision to keep SL at 14 clubs for 2012-14, knowing that that would mean one of them going down to the championship.